Curaçao vs Saint Lucia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curaçao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
MAF
0 - 5
CUW
7%
13%
80%
|
59 | 24 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
CUW
1 - 0
GRD
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
GRD
0 - 0
CUW
16%
19%
66%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
CUW
4 - 0
MAF
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 24 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
LCA
2 - 1
CUW
16%
20%
65%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
LCA
0 - 4
GRD
53%
23%
25%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
LCA
0 - 4
MAF
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
MAF
1 - 2
LCA
12%
17%
72%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
GRD
1 - 2
LCA
40%
23%
37%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
LCA
2 - 1
CUW
16%
20%
65%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |