WC Qual. CONCACAF Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Curaçao vs Montserrat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curaçao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2015 |
CUW
0 - 0
ABW
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
GUF
4 - 1
CUW
57%
23%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
CUW
2 - 3
CUB
9%
19%
72%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2014 |
CUW
2 - 3
TTO
7%
16%
78%
|
39 | 74 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
GLP
0 - 1
CUW
81%
13%
5%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Montserrat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
MSR
0 - 0
5%
14%
82%
|
9 | 37 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
MSR
1 - 0
VIR
40%
23%
37%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
VGB
0 - 7
MSR
91%
7%
2%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | +4 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
MTQ
5 - 0
MSR
93%
7%
1%
|
5 | 57 | 52 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
MSR
1 - 7
SUR
1%
9%
89%
|
5 | 50 | 45 | 0 |