Curaçao vs US Virgin Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
9.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curaçao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 3
CUW
18%
20%
62%
|
39 | 10 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
HTI
2 - 2
CUW
81%
14%
6%
|
38 | 71 | 33 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CUW
0 - 1
ATG
19%
20%
61%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SUR
2 - 2
CUW
69%
19%
13%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
SUR
2 - 0
CUW
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
US Virgin Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 3
CUW
18%
20%
62%
|
10 | 39 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
ATG
10 - 0
VIR
81%
13%
6%
|
10 | 55 | 45 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 7
HTI
8%
16%
75%
|
10 | 71 | 61 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 8
ATG
10%
17%
73%
|
10 | 55 | 45 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
HTI
6 - 0
VIR
84%
12%
4%
|
10 | 70 | 60 | 0 |