Vinotinto Ecuador vs Vargas Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
10.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
7º
1º
33
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vinotinto Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 2
CUN
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
CUN
2 - 0
GUA
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CUN
3 - 1
MAC
53%
22%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
ESA
1 - 1
CUN
21%
27%
52%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
CUN
6 - 2
MAN
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
CSV
0 - 1
OCT
25%
29%
46%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
RIV
3 - 0
CSV
61%
25%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
CSV
0 - 0
LFC
47%
28%
25%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
CSV
0 - 1
GUA
31%
31%
38%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
ESA
0 - 0
CSV
36%
29%
36%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |