Vinotinto Ecuador vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
41.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
3º
10º
3º
64
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vinotinto Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
CUN
5 - 2
CSV
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
OCT
1 - 2
CUN
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
CUN
2 - 0
CHA
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
AME
1 - 0
CUN
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
CUN
1 - 1
MAN
38%
30%
33%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
MAC
2 - 1
OCT
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
CSV
0 - 2
MAC
18%
28%
53%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 1
INJ
55%
26%
20%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
MAC
18%
26%
56%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
MAC
3 - 1
AME
61%
24%
16%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |