Cumbernauld Colts vs Stirling University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
32.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
9º
14º
10º
15
6º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
19 | 77 |
1º
|
64% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 71 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
1º
|
24 | 62 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 59 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 58 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 55 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 53 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
|
7º
|
15 | 53 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 51 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
9 | 44 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 44 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 43 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 40 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 32 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 31 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 30 |
16º
|
12% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 28 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 23 |
18º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation / Relegation playoffs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cumbernauld Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GAL
4 - 4
CUM
15%
18%
68%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
CIV
4 - 3
CUM
32%
25%
42%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CUM
0 - 0
HOM
36%
23%
41%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CUM
3 - 0
BER
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
CWB
1 - 1
CUM
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Stirling University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
STI
2 - 1
BRX
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
CBF
3 - 2
STI
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
THE
2 - 2
STI
21%
22%
57%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
STI
2 - 2
HOM
31%
24%
46%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
BER
0 - 7
STI
42%
24%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |