Cumbernauld Colts vs Auchinleck Talbot analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
45.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cumbernauld Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CUM
1 - 1
EAS
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
PRE
0 - 2
CUM
18%
19%
63%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CUM
3 - 0
GLA
81%
13%
6%
|
35 | 5 | 30 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CUM
2 - 2
AFC
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
GAL
2 - 2
CUM
48%
21%
31%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Auchinleck Talbot
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
AUC
5 - 0
BSC
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
BSC
2 - 2
AUC
28%
24%
48%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
HEM
0 - 4
AUC
11%
17%
72%
|
43 | 7 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
EDI
2 - 1
AUC
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
AUC
5 - 0
BUC
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |