Cumberland United vs Sturt Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
20.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cumberland United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
ADE
5 - 0
CUM
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
CUM
2 - 1
ADE
51%
22%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
CAM
4 - 0
CUM
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
CUM
1 - 0
CRO
35%
23%
41%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
SAP
0 - 3
CUM
39%
24%
37%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sturt Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
SLF
1 - 1
ADE
12%
16%
72%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
NEM
3 - 0
SLF
78%
13%
9%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
SLF
0 - 2
ADO
33%
23%
44%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
3 - 1
SLF
63%
19%
19%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
ADE
0 - 1
SLF
67%
18%
16%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |