Cumberland United vs Adelaide Raiders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.5%
39.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cumberland United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
CUM
2 - 3
ADE
22%
21%
57%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
NEM
2 - 3
CUM
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CUM
3 - 0
ADO
37%
24%
39%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 1
CUM
41%
24%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
CUM
0 - 4
ADE
20%
20%
60%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -3 |
Matches
Adelaide Raiders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
ADE
2 - 2
ADE
40%
23%
36%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
ADE
1 - 4
ADE
29%
23%
48%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
ADE
0 - 1
ADE
43%
23%
34%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
WES
2 - 1
ADE
16%
19%
65%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
CRO
2 - 0
ADE
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |