Cumbayá vs Imbabura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
12º
16º
16º
7
11º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 29 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 27 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 26 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 25 |
4º
|
7.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 24 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 24 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 24 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 22 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 21 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 20 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
|
11º
|
7 | 18 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 18 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 18 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 15 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 15 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
1 | 9 |
16º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cumbayá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MUS
0 - 0
CFC
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CFC
1 - 3
IVT
23%
28%
49%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
RIV
3 - 0
CFC
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LIG
2 - 1
CFC
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
CFC
1 - 2
TEC
25%
29%
46%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Imbabura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
IMB
0 - 1
ORE
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
IMB
2 - 3
MUS
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
DEL
1 - 1
IMB
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
IMB
1 - 3
BSC
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SES
0 - 0
IMB
3%
7%
91%
|
71 | 14 | 57 | +1 |