Cumbayá vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
50%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
12º
16º
16º
4
14º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 27 |
1º
|
29.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 27 |
2º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 24 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 24 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 23 |
5º
|
6.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 23 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 23 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 22 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 22 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 20 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 20 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 18 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 18 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
4 | 16 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 16 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
1 | 9 |
16º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cumbayá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
CFC
69%
19%
11%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
CFC
1 - 2
IMB
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MUS
0 - 0
CFC
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CFC
1 - 3
IVT
23%
28%
49%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
RIV
3 - 0
CFC
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AUC
1 - 2
MUS
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
AUC
0 - 1
CAL
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
AUC
0 - 2
IVT
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 0
AUC
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AUC
0 - 1
LIG
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |