Cumbayá vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
38.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
9º
16º
15º
25
3º
14º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
9 | 9 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cumbayá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 3
CFC
39%
29%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
CFC
2 - 2
BSC
32%
26%
41%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 2
CFC
74%
15%
11%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
CFC
1 - 1
CUE
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
IVT
2 - 0
CFC
69%
18%
13%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AUC
2 - 4
TEC
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
EME
0 - 0
AUC
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
AUC
1 - 2
CAL
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
UCE
2 - 2
AUC
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
AUC
0 - 0
LIG
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |