Cumbayá vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
45.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cumbayá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
UCE
1 - 0
CFC
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
AUC
1 - 0
CFC
69%
20%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 1
CUE
33%
29%
38%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
RIV
4 - 1
CFC
56%
25%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 1
EME
23%
24%
52%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2022 |
OCT
2 - 3
GUA
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
OCT
1 - 1
MAC
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
OCT
2 - 2
RIV
58%
25%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
LIG
2 - 0
OCT
67%
18%
15%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
OCT
3 - 2
IND
48%
23%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |