CD Guarnizo vs UM Escobedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Guarnizo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
CUL
49%
25%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CUL
0 - 1
TRO
46%
24%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
CUL
1 - 3
SIE
62%
21%
17%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
LAR
2 - 0
CUL
76%
16%
8%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CUL
4 - 1
GAM
76%
16%
8%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ESC
2 - 2
MAR
39%
26%
35%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
TEX
1 - 0
ESC
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
ESC
54%
23%
23%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ESC
0 - 1
REV
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SAM
2 - 3
ESC
32%
24%
44%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |