CD Guarnizo vs Tropezón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
67.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
14º
11º
52
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
58% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
81% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
91.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
62% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Guarnizo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
NAV
1 - 0
CUL
48%
26%
26%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CUL
4 - 1
CAS
52%
23%
25%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
CUL
30%
25%
45%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CUL
0 - 1
CAY
19%
23%
58%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
CUL
68%
19%
14%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Tropezón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
TRO
0 - 0
SIE
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 1
TRO
16%
19%
66%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
TRO
0 - 1
SDT
72%
17%
10%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
GAM
1 - 4
TRO
9%
15%
75%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
TRO
5 - 0
TEX
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |