CD Guarnizo vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
43.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Guarnizo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
LAR
1 - 2
CUL
77%
16%
7%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CUL
1 - 2
SIE
49%
24%
28%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
VEL
0 - 1
CUL
41%
25%
35%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CUL
0 - 0
ESC
50%
24%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
CUL
49%
25%
27%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
MAR
48%
26%
26%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
TEX
1 - 2
CAS
30%
24%
46%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 0
COL
57%
24%
20%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
MER
0 - 5
CAS
24%
25%
51%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 1
BEZ
47%
26%
27%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |