Cultural Espinosa vs Marchamalo B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
75.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cultural Espinosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
JAD
6 - 0
CES
83%
10%
6%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CES
1 - 3
USA
13%
16%
71%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
FON
10 - 0
CES
88%
8%
4%
|
6 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CES
0 - 3
GUA
29%
20%
51%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
MAN
5 - 0
CES
68%
17%
15%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Marchamalo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 0
FON
40%
23%
37%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 0
MAR
26%
21%
53%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 2
MAR
21%
21%
58%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MAR
4 - 0
TOR
85%
10%
4%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CIF
1 - 3
MAR
14%
18%
68%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |