Tercera Playoffs Galicia Final
Global 3-2
Cultural Leonesa vs Universidad Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cultural Leonesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 1
CUL
30%
27%
43%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
CUL
1 - 0
MAN
67%
21%
13%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
CUL
4 - 1
UNV
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
UNV
1 - 1
CUL
34%
26%
40%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
CUL
0 - 1
CAB
70%
18%
11%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Universidad Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
UNI
4 - 1
CAG
41%
26%
33%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
CAG
1 - 0
UNI
49%
25%
26%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 1
MAL
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
MAL
2 - 2
UNI
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
CEA
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |