Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-2
Cultural Leonesa vs Palencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cultural Leonesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
FUE
1 - 2
CUL
18%
26%
56%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
CUL
1 - 1
ZAR
57%
24%
20%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
CFP
1 - 1
CUL
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2003 |
TOM
0 - 2
CUL
14%
24%
62%
|
55 | 26 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
CUL
1 - 1
LAN
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Palencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
SSR
4 - 1
CFP
62%
22%
16%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
RMC
1 - 0
CFP
77%
16%
8%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
CFP
1 - 1
CUL
32%
27%
41%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2003 |
CFP
0 - 0
ALC
27%
26%
47%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
CFP
1 - 0
VAL
50%
25%
25%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |