Segunda B Playoffs Final
Global 4-2
Cultural Leonesa vs Lorca FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cultural Leonesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
LOR
1 - 1
CUL
31%
24%
45%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
CUL
2 - 1
FCB
34%
24%
43%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
FCB
0 - 2
CUL
62%
20%
18%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
CUL
1 - 0
OSA
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
VAL
1 - 4
CUL
21%
26%
54%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
LOR
1 - 1
CUL
31%
24%
45%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
LOR
0 - 0
ALB
29%
23%
48%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ALB
1 - 1
LOR
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
LOR
2 - 1
CDE
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
MAN
0 - 1
LOR
16%
25%
60%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |