Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-7
Cultural Leonesa vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
34.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cultural Leonesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
CUL
1 - 3
CON
57%
21%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
OSA
3 - 0
CUL
59%
20%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
CUL
4 - 0
BET
42%
22%
37%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
JFC
5 - 1
CUL
68%
17%
15%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
CUL
2 - 2
VAD
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
GRA
5 - 2
CEL
61%
19%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1944 |
CEL
1 - 5
SEV
37%
23%
40%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
DEP
3 - 2
CEL
52%
21%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
CEL
2 - 2
FCB
33%
23%
44%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
VCF
5 - 1
CEL
81%
11%
8%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |