Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 5-4
Cultural Leonesa vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cultural Leonesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1981 |
RSO
2 - 0
CUL
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
CUL
1 - 2
LPA
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
LOG
3 - 1
CUL
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
CUL
2 - 0
CEL
42%
31%
28%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
RCF
1 - 2
CUL
43%
30%
27%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1981 |
BUR
0 - 0
SEV
22%
22%
56%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
BUR
1 - 2
OVI
59%
24%
16%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1981 |
SEV
4 - 1
BUR
71%
17%
11%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
CAD
3 - 0
BUR
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
BUR
2 - 1
MAL
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |