Tercera Playoffs Galicia Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Cultural Leonesa vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cultural Leonesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
CUL
4 - 1
UNV
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
UNV
1 - 1
CUL
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
CUL
0 - 1
CAB
70%
18%
11%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CAT
0 - 1
CUL
14%
23%
63%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CUL
4 - 1
SDA
80%
14%
6%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 0
CDZ
49%
26%
26%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
CDZ
1 - 1
MAN
45%
28%
27%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
LIN
1 - 0
MAN
47%
27%
26%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
MAN
3 - 1
HUE
58%
23%
19%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
NIJ
0 - 3
MAN
21%
28%
51%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |