Cebrereña vs Villarcayo Nela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
18.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cebrereña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BEL
3 - 3
CEB
53%
22%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CEB
4 - 2
TUR
23%
21%
55%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
UXA
0 - 0
CEB
40%
24%
36%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CEB
0 - 1
NUM
44%
24%
32%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
UPP
1 - 3
CEB
32%
24%
45%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Villarcayo Nela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 1
INT
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CFB
1 - 1
VIL
61%
21%
19%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
UNA
27%
24%
50%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 1
VIL
53%
22%
25%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 1
SJO
21%
22%
57%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +2 |