Cebrereña vs CD Villa de Simancas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
17.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cebrereña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CDP
3 - 1
CEB
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
CEB
0 - 1
SAL
37%
25%
38%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CEB
2 - 1
MIR
44%
24%
31%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
BUR
2 - 2
CEB
54%
21%
25%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CEB
0 - 0
VIL
49%
24%
27%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Villa de Simancas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CDV
1 - 0
BAÑ
22%
22%
56%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
CAB
3 - 0
CDV
69%
18%
13%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CDV
0 - 1
CDP
27%
24%
49%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
SAL
4 - 1
CDV
72%
17%
12%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CDV
0 - 2
SEG
19%
21%
60%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |