Cultural Areas vs Gran Peña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
3.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cultural Areas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 1
CUL
37%
24%
39%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CUL
3 - 3
CDV
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 1
CUL
46%
22%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CUL
3 - 0
MOA
35%
24%
42%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
PON
3 - 2
CUL
20%
20%
60%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 4
MON
25%
23%
52%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CAM
2 - 1
GRA
79%
14%
7%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
GRA
0 - 3
ARN
15%
20%
65%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
BEL
4 - 1
GRA
52%
22%
26%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
GRA
0 - 1
POR
19%
22%
59%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |