Cultural Areas vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
43.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cultural Areas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CEL
1 - 2
CUL
38%
23%
39%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CUL
1 - 3
BAR
34%
24%
41%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SOM
5 - 2
CUL
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CUL
2 - 1
BER
20%
24%
57%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CUL
2 - 1
COM
15%
21%
65%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | +3 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ARO
1 - 1
COM
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
ARO
22%
26%
53%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ARO
3 - 0
BOI
44%
24%
33%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
RCV
2 - 1
ARO
43%
26%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ARO
2 - 0
LAR
71%
17%
12%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |