FK Cukaricki vs Novi Pazar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
9º
6º
25
3º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 56 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 49 |
3º
|
39.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 48 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 45 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 45 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 45 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 44 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 39 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 37 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 37 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 35 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 33 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 32 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 26 |
15º
|
75% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
82% | 23.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18% | 76.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Cukaricki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
TOD
0 - 1
ČUK
16%
23%
62%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ČUK
0 - 0
MLA
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
ČUK
0 - 0
DAC
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
2 - 3
ČUK
28%
25%
47%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
LPO
3 - 1
ČUK
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
NPA
2 - 3
TOD
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
GYO
3 - 1
NPA
30%
24%
46%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
NPA
3 - 5
TER
59%
22%
20%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2025 |
DBU
1 - 1
NPA
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
NPA
1 - 1
GAN
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |