Matogrossense Semi-finals
Global 5-1
Cuiabá vs União Rondonópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
8.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
URO
0 - 4
CUI
21%
26%
52%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CUI
1 - 0
DBO
57%
22%
22%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
DBO
0 - 0
CUI
26%
24%
50%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
ITA
3 - 1
CUI
19%
22%
59%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
CUI
0 - 1
NAU
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
União Rondonópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
URO
0 - 4
CUI
21%
26%
52%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
LTD
1 - 2
URO
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
URO
1 - 1
LTD
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
URO
0 - 1
CUI
19%
26%
56%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
LTD
2 - 0
URO
30%
24%
46%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |