Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 4-2
Cuiabá vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SAM
2 - 1
CUI
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CUI
4 - 0
PEN
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 3
CUI
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CUI
3 - 3
PLA
76%
15%
8%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 1
CUI
24%
25%
52%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SAM
2 - 1
CUI
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 1
REC
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
TDC
1 - 0
SAM
22%
25%
53%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
SAM
3 - 0
CAC
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
IND
2 - 1
SAM
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |