Copa Verde Last 16
Global 2-1
Cuiabá vs Desportiva Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CUI
0 - 0
RON
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
DES
0 - 0
CUI
44%
24%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
URO
2 - 0
CUI
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
CUI
1 - 0
URO
63%
22%
16%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CEC
0 - 0
CUI
17%
24%
59%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Desportiva Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LIN
1 - 0
DES
29%
24%
47%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
DES
0 - 0
CUI
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
DES
4 - 0
COL
69%
19%
13%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
DES
2 - 0
REA
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
DES
43%
23%
34%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |