Copa Verde Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Cuiabá vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
OPE
2 - 0
CUI
39%
28%
32%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
COS
1 - 1
CUI
12%
20%
69%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
CUI
0 - 0
CRI
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 0
CUI
34%
30%
36%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
CUI
2 - 0
BOT
52%
27%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
COS
1 - 1
CUI
12%
20%
69%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
SIN
0 - 3
COS
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
COS
2 - 1
SIN
42%
26%
31%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
GEN
2 - 2
COS
15%
20%
64%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
COS
2 - 0
GEN
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |