Cuiabá vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
57.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CUI
2 - 0
OPE
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
SIN
2 - 2
CUI
23%
24%
53%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
CUI
4 - 0
LUV
33%
24%
44%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
CUI
1 - 2
OPE
62%
20%
17%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
CUI
1 - 0
CRA
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 2
CEA
20%
25%
56%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CEA
2 - 0
TIR
75%
17%
8%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
ITA
1 - 5
CEA
16%
23%
61%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CEA
3 - 1
FER
69%
20%
11%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
ICA
0 - 2
CEA
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |