Copa Verde Quarter-finals
Global 0-1
Cuiabá vs Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
CUI
1 - 0
MIX
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 0
CUI
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CUI
2 - 0
CEC
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
CUI
2 - 1
DES
50%
24%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CUI
0 - 0
RON
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 0
LUZ
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 2
BRA
22%
23%
55%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 0
CUI
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 1
CAP
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CEI
0 - 0
BRA
30%
24%
46%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |