Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 1-0
Cuiabá vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
CUI
3 - 0
CRB
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 1
CUI
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
SAM
3 - 0
CUI
32%
29%
40%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
CUI
3 - 3
PAR
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 0
CUI
32%
28%
40%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
BOT
2 - 2
CEA
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 1
CUI
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
BOT
0 - 0
GOI
55%
25%
21%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
GRE
3 - 1
BOT
73%
18%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 2
BOT
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |