Cúcuta Deportivo vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
12º
6º
9
13º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 32 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 32 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 29 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 28 |
4º
|
31.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 26 |
5º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 23 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 22 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 22 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 21 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 21 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 20 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 19 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 16 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 15 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
9 | 14 |
15º
|
30.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 13 |
16º
|
48.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
68% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
32% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cúcuta Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
CUC
3 - 0
TFC
70%
20%
10%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LEO
1 - 0
CUC
34%
28%
39%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
CUC
0 - 1
LLA
41%
28%
32%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
BOG
5 - 0
CUC
16%
26%
58%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
CUC
1 - 2
HUI
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
BJC
4 - 3
REA
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
REA
1 - 0
HUI
21%
27%
52%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
BOG
1 - 0
REA
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
4 - 0
REA
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
REA
2 - 1
BAR
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |