Copa Colombia 1/32
Global 3-1
Cúcuta Deportivo vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cúcuta Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
REA
0 - 0
CUC
26%
27%
47%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
CUC
3 - 0
UNI
68%
21%
11%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 2
CUC
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
CUC
34%
25%
42%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CUC
1 - 0
UNI
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CAR
4 - 2
COR
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
BOG
2 - 1
CAR
35%
28%
38%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 2
CUC
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
CUC
34%
25%
42%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LLA
1 - 1
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |