Copa Colombia 1/16
Global 5-3
Cúcuta Deportivo vs La Equidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cúcuta Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
BUC
1 - 0
CUC
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
EQU
1 - 2
CUC
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CUC
1 - 0
ENV
48%
26%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
ONC
1 - 1
CUC
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CUC
0 - 3
TOL
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
TOL
1 - 2
EQU
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
EQU
1 - 2
CUC
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
EQU
2 - 1
BUC
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
SFE
1 - 0
EQU
52%
26%
21%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
EQU
2 - 0
ONC
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |