Copa Libertadores Semi-finals
Global 3-4
Cúcuta Deportivo vs Boca Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
38.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cúcuta Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2007 |
CUC
3 - 1
MIL
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2007 |
MIL
2 - 0
CUC
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2007 |
NAC
2 - 2
CUC
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
HUI
1 - 1
CUC
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2007 |
CUC
1 - 1
IND
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2007 |
BOC
3 - 1
GIM
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2007 |
LIB
0 - 2
BOC
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
QUI
1 - 2
BOC
17%
23%
60%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2007 |
BOC
1 - 1
LIB
63%
22%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
BOC
1 - 1
ARS
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |