Cúcuta Deportivo vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
55.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cúcuta Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
EQU
4 - 1
CUC
57%
25%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
CUC
2 - 1
REA
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CUC
1 - 0
HUI
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
3 - 1
CUC
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SFE
2 - 0
CUC
66%
22%
13%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 1
TOL
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
ENV
1 - 1
NAC
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
PEÑ
0 - 4
NAC
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 3
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 1
SFC
80%
14%
6%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | -1 |