Cúcuta Deportivo vs Alianza FC analysis

Cúcuta Deportivo Alianza FC
64 ELO 66
-11.1% Tilt -2.5%
553º General ELO ranking 592º
16º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
39%
Cúcuta Deportivo
25.9%
Draw
35.1%
Alianza FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
Cúcuta Deportivo
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.1%
Win probability
Alianza FC
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cúcuta Deportivo
-12%
-15%
Alianza FC

ELO progression

Cúcuta Deportivo
Alianza FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cúcuta Deportivo
Cúcuta Deportivo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jul. 2014
AME
América de Cali
2 - 1
Cúcuta Deportivo
CUC
54%
25%
21%
65 68 3 0
25 Jul. 2014
CUC
Cúcuta Deportivo
1 - 1
Patriotas Boyacá
PAT
40%
27%
34%
65 69 4 0
22 Jul. 2014
CUC
Cúcuta Deportivo
2 - 1
Unión Magdalena
UNI
59%
24%
17%
64 56 8 +1
12 Jul. 2014
ALI
Alianza FC
0 - 2
Cúcuta Deportivo
CUC
50%
25%
24%
63 68 5 +1
09 Jul. 2014
BUC
Atlético Bucaramanga
0 - 2
Cúcuta Deportivo
CUC
38%
27%
36%
62 60 2 +1

Matches

Alianza FC
Alianza FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jul. 2014
CHI
Boyacá Chicó
1 - 0
Alianza FC
ALI
54%
25%
21%
66 73 7 0
23 Jul. 2014
REA
Real Santander
0 - 2
Alianza FC
ALI
21%
23%
57%
66 53 13 0
12 Jul. 2014
ALI
Alianza FC
0 - 2
Cúcuta Deportivo
CUC
50%
25%
24%
68 63 5 -2
09 Jul. 2014
ALI
Alianza FC
0 - 1
Boyacá Chicó
CHI
36%
26%
38%
68 71 3 0
06 Jul. 2014
BUC
Atlético Bucaramanga
3 - 0
Alianza FC
ALI
23%
24%
53%
69 59 10 -1
X