Cuba vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
13.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1980 |
CRC
3 - 0
CUB
79%
14%
7%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1979 |
CUB
2 - 0
JAM
58%
21%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 1978 |
CUB
1 - 0
PAN
64%
18%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 1978 |
CUB
2 - 1
ANT
68%
17%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 1978 |
CUB
3 - 0
TTO
64%
18%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1980 |
ZAM
5 - 0
KEN
70%
16%
14%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1980 |
MWI
2 - 0
ZAM
54%
20%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Jun. 1980 |
ZAM
2 - 1
ZIM
70%
16%
14%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1980 |
ZAM
4 - 0
ETH
65%
17%
18%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
ETH
0 - 0
ZAM
50%
21%
29%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |