Cuba vs Suriname analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
11.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
CUB
1 - 1
PAN
22%
27%
51%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
CAN
3 - 0
CUB
65%
22%
13%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
HND
1 - 0
CUB
75%
17%
9%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
CUB
0 - 3
HND
21%
27%
52%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
PAN
1 - 0
CUB
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Suriname
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
MTQ
2 - 2
SUR
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
VGB
0 - 4
SUR
3%
11%
86%
|
50 | 17 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
MSR
1 - 7
SUR
1%
9%
89%
|
50 | 5 | 45 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
GUF
2 - 1
SUR
20%
22%
58%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
SUR
0 - 0
ABW
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |