Cuba vs Suriname analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
5.8%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
CUB
1 - 1
BRB
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2008 |
CUB
7 - 1
CUW
87%
10%
2%
|
73 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2008 |
CUB
2 - 1
GTM
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
USA
6 - 1
CUB
80%
15%
6%
|
73 | 94 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2008 |
GTM
4 - 1
CUB
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Suriname
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
SUR
2 - 1
CUW
73%
17%
11%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2008 |
BRB
3 - 2
SUR
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2008 |
SLV
3 - 0
SUR
71%
18%
12%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
SUR
1 - 4
CRC
5%
15%
80%
|
54 | 86 | 32 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
SUR
0 - 2
SLV
29%
26%
46%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |