Cuba vs Guadeloupe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
GTM
1 - 0
CUB
76%
15%
8%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
URU
2 - 0
CUB
88%
10%
3%
|
57 | 91 | 34 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
CHI
3 - 0
CUB
84%
11%
5%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CUB
1 - 0
GLP
50%
25%
26%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
BRB
0 - 1
CUB
11%
20%
69%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Guadeloupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 2
GLP
84%
12%
4%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
GLP
2 - 0
GUY
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
ATG
0 - 5
GLP
37%
26%
38%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CUB
1 - 0
GLP
50%
25%
26%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
GLP
0 - 1
ATG
46%
23%
31%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |