Cuba vs Nicaragua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
CUB
0 - 2
PAN
34%
28%
39%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
CUB
0 - 1
SLV
51%
27%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
GRD
0 - 1
CUB
15%
21%
64%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
CUB
1 - 2
GLP
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2010 |
CUB
0 - 0
GRD
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
NIC
1 - 2
GTM
10%
19%
71%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
NIC
1 - 1
BLZ
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2011 |
PAN
2 - 0
NIC
83%
12%
4%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
SLV
2 - 0
NIC
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
GTM
5 - 0
NIC
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |