WC Qual. CONCACAF Fase 1 Parte 1 Final
Global 5-1
Cuba vs Cayman Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2004 |
CUB
3 - 0
PAN
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2004 |
CUB
1 - 1
PAN
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2004 |
CYM
1 - 2
CUB
15%
20%
65%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2004 |
CUB
0 - 0
MAC
81%
14%
5%
|
72 | 33 | 39 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
TTO
2 - 1
CUB
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cayman Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2004 |
CYM
1 - 2
CUB
15%
20%
65%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2003 |
PHL
2 - 1
CYM
32%
22%
46%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2003 |
CYM
2 - 2
VAN
75%
15%
10%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2003 |
PNG
3 - 5
CYM
37%
23%
39%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
CYM
0 - 3
MTQ
20%
23%
57%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |