Cuba vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
52.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
PAN
1 - 0
CUB
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
CUB
0 - 1
CAN
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
BOL
1 - 0
CUB
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
JAM
3 - 0
CUB
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
JAM
1 - 0
CUB
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
CAN
0 - 0
HND
31%
27%
43%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
HND
0 - 2
PAN
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
SLV
0 - 3
HND
27%
25%
47%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
HND
0 - 1
NZL
66%
20%
15%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
CRC
1 - 1
HND
48%
25%
28%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |