Cuba vs Haiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
30.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2000 |
BRB
1 - 1
CUB
20%
25%
55%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
CUB
1 - 1
BRB
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
SUR
0 - 0
CUB
18%
24%
58%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
CUB
1 - 0
SUR
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
CYM
0 - 0
CUB
17%
23%
60%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2000 |
HTI
1 - 1
TTO
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
TTO
3 - 1
HTI
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
BHS
0 - 4
HTI
9%
18%
73%
|
73 | 37 | 36 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
HTI
9 - 0
BHS
82%
14%
5%
|
73 | 37 | 36 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2000 |
SLV
3 - 1
HTI
44%
25%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |