WC Qual. CONCACAF Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Cuba vs Curaçao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cuba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
CUW
0 - 0
CUB
10%
17%
73%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2015 |
NYC
4 - 1
CUB
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
JAM
3 - 0
CUB
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
DOM
0 - 3
CUB
26%
23%
51%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
CUB
1 - 2
HTI
35%
26%
39%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Curaçao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
CUW
0 - 0
CUB
10%
17%
73%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
CUW
1 - 0
TTO
7%
14%
78%
|
40 | 75 | 35 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
SUR
2 - 3
CUW
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
MSR
2 - 2
CUW
15%
19%
66%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CUW
2 - 1
MSR
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | 0 |